Archive for category Commentary
Portland Trail Blazers 2009-2010 Preview
Posted by admin in Commentary, News on October 20th, 2009
Courtesy: Buck a Bucket
1. What Significant Moves were made during the off-season?
The “disappointing” off-season of the Portland Trail Blazers has been a popular subject among some uninformed national critics. From the Hedo Turkoglu debacle, to Utah matching the offer sheet for Paul Millsap, to delays in signing Brandon Roy to a max deal. An outsider looking in at these situations might view them as failures, but I look at them as blessings in disguise.
The most significant move of the off-season had to be the acquisition of Andre Miller. The Blazers needed a pass first point guard with experience and Andre Miller provides that. Portland also signed him to a relatively short term deal (two years with a third year option). At 33 years old, Miller is reaching the decline of his career but he hasn’t shown any signs of declining numbers yet. His impact will be more than just numbers though, it’s his ability to run a team and contribute to an already stacked roster. Andre comes in with a ton of experience on a team dominated by youth.
With a lack of depth at the true power forward position, Portland also brought in Juwan Howard who was widely considered over the hill. So far in training camp and in preseason games, Howard has looked surprisingly spry. He obviously worked hard in the off-season and his mentoring of Greg Oden has already been visible during practice and scrimmages. His best on court abilities still remain, crafty veteran moves, solid mid-range jumper and a big body on the front line. Howard will prove to be a solid acquisition.
Portland also cut some dead weight by trading Sergio Rodriguez for a bump up in the 2nd round of the 2009 draft, and also declined to resign Channing Frye.
2. What are the team’s biggest strengths?
The most talked about part of the Trail Blazers is their incredible amount of talent. Some might argue against it, but depth has to be one of their biggest strengths. Regardless of how you set the starting line-up, Portland’s second unit could legitimately beat a few of lesser teams in the NBA. The talent on the bench could be the key to a handful of wins in the regular season.
Another major strength has to be youth. To have so many young guys getting experience like last years first round playoff exit, bodes well for the future. Brandon Roy, LaMarcus Aldridge, and the rest of the team now knows how it feels to be disappointed in the playoffs. Youth also gets a team through long seasons and tough back to back games. Youth should be a strength for this somewhat experienced young Blazers team that hopes to go even further in the playoffs in 2010.
3. What are the team’s biggest weaknesses?
Unfortunately Portland’s biggest weakness could be one of its strengths. No longer can we point to youth as an excuse. With so much talent now on this team, it could pose a problem if winning isn’t a priority for every player. The NBA is not traditionally one with 10-man rotations full of great players. Usually it’s three stars and a bunch of role players. Many of the Blazers have not yet realized their talent and might be looking for more. Can these guys sacrifice money and playing time for winning? If so, for how long? The window of opportunity may not be open for too long with the current structure, therefore, winning is a big priority.
4. What are the goals for this team?
Obviously regular season goals are important, but this season, The Blazers need to advance in the playoffs. A good regular season goal is to win the Northwest division, win 50+ games and get a 2 or 3 seed in the playoffs.
Once Portland makes the playoffs, their goal has to be making the Western Conference finals. Last year, Portland had a 3 seed against a tough Rockets team and the outcome was less than favorable. That experience has matured this team and they will be looking for more this year. Winning in the first round of the playoffs would be great, but getting to the WCF is a reasonable and obtainable goal.
5. Along with LaMarcus Aldridge and Brandon Roy, who else should start for the Blazers?
One of the most argued points of the off-season for Portland has been who should start. Many have focused on just Andre Miller and Steve Blake while others have discussed the chemistry of the entire starting five. I believe at this point there are two schools of thought regarding this topic.
One very obvious line-up strategy would be to start your best five players. If that were the case, we’d be looking at Andre Miller, Brandon Roy, Martell Webster, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Greg Oden. It sounds like a formidable line-up, one that could take advantage of having scoring options at every position. If one guy is cold, give someone else the ball. In theory this could work, but with the current talent available, this may not be the best option.
The other idea involves keeping Webster, Miller and Oden together, and moving them to the second unit. Those three are capable of scoring and defending, and with Rudy and Juwan Howard/Travis Outlaw, they can spread the floor and take advantage of mismatches. That would make Steve Blake, Nicolas Batum and Joel Przybilla starters. These three started last year with Brandon and LaMarcus and they provide a nice balance to Portlands one and two scoring options. Steve Blake plays off Brandon and can hit the open three while Joel doesn’t demand touches which allows LaMarcus plenty of offensive opportunities. This is a line-up focused more on defense while also giving the best players the right opportunities to get touches.
Blake, Roy, Batum, Aldridge and Przybilla should start the season in the first unit. It just makes more sense from a basketball standpoint. As long as Andre Miller and Greg Oden aren’t too concerned with starting, the 10-man rotation in Portland could be too much for other NBA teams to stop.
Predicted record: 56-26
Oregon Sports Podcast NFL Week Six Picks
Posted by admin in Commentary on October 17th, 2009
Pick Em:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Houston Texans | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Baltimore Ravens | Minnesota Vikings |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants | New Orleans Saints |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | Carolina Panthers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Kansas City Chiefs | Washington Redskins |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | St. Louis Rams | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 10/18 4:05 PM | FOX | Arizona Cardinals | Seattle Seahawks |
| 10/18 4:05 PM | FOX | Philadelphia Eagles | Oakland Raiders |
| 10/18 4:15 PM | CBS | Buffalo Bills | New York Jets |
| 10/18 4:15 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans | New England Patriots |
| 10/18 8:20 PM | NBC | Chicago Bears | Atlanta Falcons |
| 10/19 8:30 PM | ESPN | Denver Broncos | San Diego Chargers |
Against the Spread:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Houston Texans | Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | Detroit Lions (+13.5) | Green Bay Packers |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Baltimore Ravens | Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants | New Orleans Saints (-3.5) |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | Carolina Panthers (-3.5) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Kansas City Chiefs (+6.5) | Washington Redskins |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | FOX | St. Louis Rams | Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5) |
| 10/18 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns | Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.5) |
| 10/18 4:05 PM | FOX | Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) | Seattle Seahawks |
| 10/18 4:05 PM | FOX | Philadelphia Eagles (-14.5) | Oakland Raiders |
| 10/18 4:15 PM | CBS | Buffalo Bills | New York Jets (-9.5) |
| 10/18 4:15 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans | New England Patriots (-9.5) |
| 10/18 8:20 PM | NBC | Chicago Bears | Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) |
| 10/19 8:30 PM | ESPN | Denver Broncos (+4.5) | San Diego Chargers |
Oregon Sports Podcast NFL Week 5 Picks
Posted by admin in Commentary on October 9th, 2009
Selections:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns | Buffalo Bills |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Pittsburgh Steelers | Detroit Lions |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Dallas Cowboys | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Minnesota Vikings | St. Louis Rams |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Oakland Raiders | New York Giants |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Washington Redskins | Carolina Panthers |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Cincinnati Bengals | Baltimore Ravens |
| 10/11 4:05 PM | FOX | Atlanta Falcons | San Francisco 49ers |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | Jacksonville Jaguars | Seattle Seahawks |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | Houston Texans | Arizona Cardinals |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | New England Patriots | Denver Broncos |
| 10/11 8:20 PM | NBC | Indianapolis Colts | Tennessee Titans |
| 10/12 8:30 PM | ESPN | New York Jets | Miami Dolphins |
Against the Spread:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns (+6.5) | Buffalo Bills |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5) | Detroit Lions |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Dallas Cowboys (-8.5) | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) | St. Louis Rams |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Oakland Raiders | New York Giants (-16.5) |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Philadelphia Eagles (-13.5) |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | FOX | Washington Redskins | Carolina Panthers (-3.5) |
| 10/11 1:00 PM | CBS | Cincinnati Bengals (+8.5) | Baltimore Ravens |
| 10/11 4:05 PM | FOX | Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) | San Francisco 49ers |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | Jacksonville Jaguars (+0.5) | Seattle Seahawks |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | Houston Texans | Arizona Cardinals (-5.5) |
| 10/11 4:15 PM | CBS | New England Patriots (-3.5) | Denver Broncos |
| 10/11 8:20 PM | NBC | Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) | Tennessee Titans |
| 10/12 8:30 PM | ESPN | New York Jets (-1.5) | Miami Dolphins |
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Kings Observations
Posted by admin in Commentary, News on October 7th, 2009
From Bust a Bucket:
The preseason can be a very mundane experience for a person who’s last game was a playoff atmosphere, but tonight was full of interesting observations. Tonight was my first look at the new and improved Oden, Andre Miller, Rudy, Martell, rotations, general offensive and defensive philosophy with different personel (wasn’t able to attend Fan Fest), and the referees among other things. I sat back tonight and was less of a fan and more of an observer. Here is what I saw.
- Greg Oden has made some serious progression with his offensive game. Gone are the days of just trying to drop-step and power through the defender. Tonight I was a lot more impressed with his ability to stay on balance and in control when he was given the ball in the post. Now, the Kings don’t exactly have the players that will challenge Greg on the block and force him out of position but he looks like he knows what he is doing. He looks like he’s learned how to slow down. In the first quarter Oden was able to show me the baseline spin move that left his defender in the dust and the fans’ jaws dropped in amazement. The biggest roar of the night however came when he faced up his defender from 15 feet and drained the open jumper with ease. Combine those two moves with his left and right handed baby hooks and he will start to become a force offensively at his size. He’s not Shaq by any means, but it is a great improvement that will help the Blazers tremendously.
- The beginning of the game saw the same starting lineup that ended last year with Blake, Roy, Batum, Aldridge, and Oden (as expected). Roy just looks like he is trying to get back into game shape as his game is pretty rusty. Tonight you could just tell his timing was off from the opening tip when he air-balled a wide open three point shot. This led the first unit to look pretty lackluster with one very bright spot in Lamarcus Aldridge, as he looks like he hasn’t missed a beat. The thought of Oden, Aldridge, and Roy on the floor at the same time with two other shooters is very intriguing when the game is on the line.
Fleeting Thoughts from Portland Trail Blazers Fan Fest
Posted by admin in Commentary, News on October 6th, 2009
From Oregon Sports Live:
As you all saw (if you didn’t, you’re in some deep trouble, fool), my boy Stu threw up an excellent reflection on Fan Fest yesterday. As I was a day late in watching the scrimmage (note to self: write thank you letter to the inventor of the DVR), I only just now was able to string together a few additional comments to compliment Stu’s fine work. They are as follows:
- Nicolas Batum looks dangerous with the ball in his hands. I think he’s looking to go for the throat this year, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he was averaging 12-15 by February.
- I loved seeing Coach Luke tugging at Greg’s arm on the bench and giving advice to the big fella. It was a sight for sore eyes, and I want more.
- Speaking of Greg, I have to say that I was impressed by him. Seriously, all expectations have been exceeded. Joel is one of the smartest post defenders in the league, and Greg was losing him. Of course neither guy was playing his hardest, but Pryz isn’t going to out-athlete anybody, no matter how hard he plays. So I think this scrimmage was a pretty valid temperature check on Greg’s offense. One thing we didn’t see: double teams down low. I’m sure this was by design, but I’m still curious about how Greg will will handle aggressive doubles.
Oregon Sports Podcast NFL Week Four Picks
Posted by admin in Commentary on October 1st, 2009
Pick Em:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Detroit Lions | Chicago Bears |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Seattle Seahawks | Indianapolis Colts |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Washington Redskins |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Oakland Raiders | Houston Texans |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Baltimore Ravens | New England Patriots |
| 10/4 4:05 PM | CBS | New York Jets | New Orleans Saints |
| 10/4 4:05 PM | CBS | Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins |
| 10/4 4:15 PM | FOX | Dallas Cowboys | Denver Broncos |
| 10/4 4:15 PM | FOX | St. Louis Rams | San Francisco 49ers |
| 10/4 8:20 PM | NBC | San Diego Chargers | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 10/5 8:30 PM | ESPN | Green Bay Packers | Minnesota Vikings |
Against the Spread:
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Detroit Lions | Chicago Bears (-10.5) |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) | Cleveland Browns |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Seattle Seahawks | Indianapolis Colts (-8.5) |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants (-9.5) | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | FOX | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7.5) | Washington Redskins |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans (-2.5) | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Oakland Raiders | Houston Texans (-9.5) |
| 10/4 1:00 PM | CBS | Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) | New England Patriots |
| 10/4 4:05 PM | CBS | New York Jets | New Orleans Saints (-6.5) |
| 10/4 4:05 PM | CBS | Buffalo Bills (-1.5) | Miami Dolphins |
| 10/4 4:15 PM | FOX | Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) | Denver Broncos |
| 10/4 4:15 PM | FOX | St. Louis Rams | San Francisco 49ers (-10.5) |
| 10/4 8:20 PM | NBC | San Diego Chargers (+6.5) | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 10/5 8:30 PM | ESPN | Green Bay Packers | Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) |
Season Stats:
Pick Em: 70.8%
Against the Spread: 58.3%
Oregon Ducks Get the Worst News
Posted by admin in Commentary, News on September 30th, 2009
Courtesy Oregon Sports Live:
My head is still a bit in a fog from listening to hours of Blazer media day coverage yesterday. So it goes without saying it’s been a slow morning. The following news took a second to sink in. The Oregonian is reporting that Duck cornerback, captain, All-American candidate, and unquestioned leader Walter Thurmond III will go under the knife. Thurmond’s UO career is over, and he leaves with the most touchdowns (5) from any non-offensive player in Ducks history.
The Bellotti regime and athletic department were mum about Thurmond’s health all week, probably because they feared the news most Duck fans already assumed was coming. The press release doesn’t indicate the severity or type of injury Thurmond sustained, nor when he’ll undergo surgery.
Oregon State Beavers Postgame Analysis
Posted by admin in Commentary, News on September 28th, 2009
Here we are again. 2-2. Someday I’d love to see a 3-1 or 4-0 start. The good news is that our 2-2 starts used to include a huge blowout or two (Boise St., Cal, Cincy, etc). Now our 2-2 starts could have just as easily been 3-1 or 4-0 with a few breaks (no interceptions). Of course the UNLV game could have gone the other way too…
Other than a few bad breaks, why are we losing these games that we seemed to pull out last year? I don’t pretend to know, but I know what I see.
* We don’t do anything great. We’re OK at the passing game. OK against the run. OK against the pass. OK in the running game. OK receiving core. OK offensive line. Bad pass rush. We’re just average right now. Which isn’t bad, unless you make more mistakes than the other team (-2 turnover margin against U of A. 5-0 sacks. Penalties). The good news? When you are already OK to good, its easier to improve a little to see better performance on the field. We have the athletes.
NFL Week Three Picks
Posted by admin in Commentary on September 25th, 2009
Pick Em
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Pittsburgh Steelers | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Washington Redskins | Detroit Lions |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Green Bay Packers | St. Louis Rams |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | San Francisco 49ers | Minnesota Vikings |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Atlanta Falcons | New England Patriots |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans | New York Jets |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Kansas City Chiefs | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns | Baltimore Ravens |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Jacksonville Jaguars | Houston Texans |
| 9/27 4:05 PM | FOX | Chicago Bears | Seattle Seahawks |
| 9/27 4:05 PM | FOX | New Orleans Saints | Buffalo Bills |
| 9/27 4:15 PM | CBS | Denver Broncos | Oakland Raiders |
| 9/27 4:15 PM | CBS | Miami Dolphins | San Diego Chargers |
| 9/27 8:20 PM | NBC | Indianapolis Colts | Arizona Cardinals |
| 9/28 8:30 PM | ESPN | Carolina Panthers | Dallas Cowboys |
Against the Spread
| Which team will win the game? (My selections are in bold.) | |||
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5) | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Washington Redskins | Detroit Lions (+6.5) |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Green Bay Packers (-6.5) | St. Louis Rams |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | San Francisco 49ers (+7.5) | Minnesota Vikings |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | Atlanta Falcons | New England Patriots (-4.5) |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Tennessee Titans | New York Jets (-2.5) |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Kansas City Chiefs | Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5) |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | FOX | New York Giants (-7.5) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Cleveland Browns | Baltimore Ravens (-13.5) |
| 9/27 1:00 PM | CBS | Jacksonville Jaguars | Houston Texans (-3.5) |
| 9/27 4:05 PM | FOX | Chicago Bears (-2.5) | Seattle Seahawks |
| 9/27 4:05 PM | FOX | New Orleans Saints (-5.5) | Buffalo Bills |
| 9/27 4:15 PM | CBS | Denver Broncos | Oakland Raiders (-1.5) |
| 9/27 4:15 PM | CBS | Miami Dolphins | San Diego Chargers (-5.5) |
| 9/27 8:20 PM | NBC | Indianapolis Colts (+1.5) | Arizona Cardinals |
| 9/28 8:30 PM | ESPN | Carolina Panthers (+9.5) | Dallas Cowboys |
Season Stats:
Pick Em – 81.9%
Against the Spread – 49.6%
Oregon Sports Podcast NFL Week Seven Picks
Posted by admin in Commentary on October 24th, 2009
Against the Spread:
Pick Em’
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